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fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2– plus transfer poll results | Fantasy Football Geek

by Geek

Here’s our fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2 article. We look at the fixtures, the bookies odds, the FFGeek captain poll, the contributors picks and stats to seek out the best captain choice. There’s also the results of the transfer poll.

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2– plus transfer poll results

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The Fixtures

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2

The Bookies team to win odds

The odds are for the team to win with the return from a £1.00 bet

Man Utd v C Palace £1.32 – Fernandes, Martial, Rashford

Wolves v Man City £1.52 – De Bruyne, Sterling

Everton v WBA £1.52 – Calvert Lewin, Richarlison, James Rodriguez

Arsenal v West Ham £1.52 – Aubameyang

The anytime goal scorer odds

These are the odds for anytime goalscorer for £1 bet. They assume the player starts and don’t take into account assist potential

 

£1.65 – Aubameyang

£1.80 – Vardy

£1.91 – Aguero (inj rumours)

£2.05 – Lacazette, Salah, Sterling, Jesus

£2.10 – Calvert Lewin, Martial, Rashford, Fernandes, Ings

£2.15 – Richarlison

£2.20 – Werner

£2.25 – Kane

£2.37 – Mane

£2.40 – Rodrigo/Bamford

James Rodriguez is £2.70, De Bruyne is £2.90.

The FFGeek Poll

The FFGeek captain poll asks who will be your captain? Thanks for taking the time to vote

 

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2

Other FPL advice site Polls

Site 1 has the highest traffic.  Site 2 low traffic votes

fantasy premier league captain analysis gw2

Contributor Picks

Here’s what I’ve got so far:

x

fantasy premier league captain analysis gw2

Stats comparison

Aubameyang v Fernandes v Salah

Here’s some key performance stats. They are overall on a season basis home and away stats as the difference is somewhat theoretical at the moment.

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2

In 19/20 Arsenal were 7th in Goals scored, 9th in xG and 11th in Shots per game

In 19/20 Man Utd were 5th in Goals scored, 4th in xG and 5th in Shots per game

In 19/20 Liverpool were 2nd in Goals scored, 3rd in xG and 2nd in Shots per game

Defences

In 19/20 West Ham were ranked 16th in goals conceded 18th in xGA and 12th in Shots per game against

In 19/20 C Palace were ranked 10th in goals conceded 13th in xGA and 13th in Shots per game against

In 19/20 Chelsea were ranked 11th in goals conceded 5th in xGA and 2nd in Shots per game against (otherwise known as the Kepa effect)

Summary

 

I’d expect all of Aubameyang, Salah and Fernandes to start

Aubameyang clearly leads the bookies odds, the polls and the Contributor picks so he’s the most popular player by some distance with FPL managers and the bookies.

Stats wise his underlying stats are pretty ordinary for the price but he massively overperformed them with an exceptional finishing year.

Fernandes 8 goals last season consisted of 4 penalties and if you stripped them out plus his overperformance you’d have a set of underlying stats that are similar to Jarrod Bowen or Jack Grealish’s

Salah has the best stats by some distance but faces a very good defence.  That’s until the ball gets to or should I say past the GK.  Let me remind you that for 30% of the shots on target last season he didn’t even move for.

The FFGeek choice

You may have seen my early FFGeek team thoughts article where I touched on this and other things

I don’t have Fernandes anyway to cause any confusion so I’m going with the polls of Aubameyang which I would have anyway

Transfer polls results

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2

fantasy premier league captain analysis GW2

 

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